UNITED STATES
National Catholic Reporter
Thomas Reese | Jan. 9, 2014
ANALYSIS
Whenever a bishop dies or approaches 75, the age of retirement, I get phone calls from local journalists asking who I think will be his successor. I immediately tell them, “I don’t play Jimmy the Greek,” because the honest answer is I don’t have a clue. Those that know don’t talk; those who don’t know speculate.
The same is true for predicting who will be made cardinals, except here, guessing is a little bit easier because there are certain positions in the Vatican that are usually held by cardinals and there are certain archdioceses that are usually headed by cardinals.
Who might be created a cardinal at the next consistory to be held Feb. 22?
To answer that question, I consulted Salvador Miranda, the leading U.S. expert on cardinals and creator of a digital gold mine on the College of Cardinals. He is not foolish enough to make predictions, but he does have a list of those who have a better chance of being appointed based on historical experience — they lead Vatican offices or archdioceses that have been headed by cardinals in the past.
The problem is that the list contains 23 names where there are only 14 vacancies in the College of Cardinals, which by law is limited to 120 cardinals under the age of 80. Two more cardinals could easily be created since two more cardinals turn 80 in March. Pope Francis could also follow the example of Blessed John Paul II, who raised the size of the College of Cardinals to 135 in 2001. Once a cardinal turns 80, he can no longer vote for a new pope.
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